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Archive for December, 2009

Project Cash Flow Forecasting

Wednesday, December 16th, 2009 by Machel

Bidding on large projects is bittersweet.  If you have an opportunity to bid on a project that could be either a blessing or a burden, it is important to manage the cash flow.  Because cash is King, it has the ability to put you in a castle or a shack.  What kind of living quarters you live in can be decided by cash flow.  A significant number of companies go out of business because of lack of cash, not a lack of great ideas.

When bidding on large projects there are a few questions that need to be addressed.  First, when are the costs of the project due?  Second, when will the majority of the labor be needed?  Third, what size of a down payment do I need?  When do I need progress payments?  Most companies think the down payment question should be answered first, but that is not always the case.  It is necessary to know when your costs are going out so you know what size your down payment needs to be and when your progress payments need to come in.

Let’s assume some facts for our example:

  1. Revenue on the project is $3,000,000
  2. Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) are $1,500,000
  3. Operating Expenses are $10,000 for the first 4 months, then gradually less as the project closes

Project Cash Flow at a 30% Down Payment

 

Jan-10

Feb-10

Mar-10

Apr-10

May-10

Jun-10

Jul-10

Income

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Invoiced

900,000

 

 

1,500,000

 

600,000

 

$ Rcvd

 

900,000

-

-

1,500,000

-

600,000

COGS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Estimated COG

 

450,000

450,000

450,000

150,000

 

 

Total COGS

-

450,000

450,000

450,000

150,000

-

-

Est OE

 

10,000

10,000

10,000

10,000

5,000

3,000

Total Cost

-

460,000

460,000

460,000

160,000

5,000

3,000

Net Effect

-

440,000

(460,000)

(460,000)

1,340,000

(5,000)

597,000

Cum Effect

-

440,000

(20,000)

(480,000)

860,000

855,000

1,452,000

Project Cash Flow at a 50% Down Payment

 

40,179

40,210

40,238

40,269

40,299

40,330

40,360

Income

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Invoiced

1,500,000

 

 

900,000

 

600,000

 

$ Rcvd

 

1,500,000

-

-

900,000

-

600,000

COGS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Estimated COG

 

450,000

450,000

450,000

150,000

 

 

Total COGS

-

450,000

450,000

450,000

150,000

-

-

Est OE

 

10,000

10,000

10,000

10,000

5,000

3,000

Total Cost

-

460,000

460,000

460,000

160,000

5,000

3,000

Net Effect

-

1,040,000

(460,000)

(460,000)

740,000

(5,000)

597,000

Cum Effect

-

1,040,000

580,000

120,000

860,000

855,000

1,452,000

Following the tables listed above, if you change the down payment from a 30% down payment to a 50% down payment, you go from needing $480,000 to not needing any additional cash at all during the entire project.  This is assuming a progress payment is scheduled four months into the project.

A spreadsheet like this does not take very much time to set up.  By putting in that extra time your company can go from living high on the hog to searching the couch cushions for change.

5 S Process in an Assembly Shop

Thursday, December 10th, 2009 by ksmith

Recently we talked about the 5 S process developed from the Toyota Production System.  Some believe that the 5 S process can only be implemented in a manufacturing environment and do not see the benefits of using this process to improve their work environment.  Here at Setpoint we have our design engineers in an office environment and our assembly technicians in a shop environment with both areas using the 5 S process. 

We made a video and put it out on YouTube to walk through our shop and show how the 5 S Process can be implemented in an assembly environment where we build one machine and ship it, then build a completely different machine.

Return on Investment (ROI) Calculator

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009 by JoeK

The ROI (Return on Investment) calculator is a new tool added to Setpoint System’s web site.  This tool allows you to measure the viability of a potential automation project that Setpoint Systems could provide.  The tool requires the following information. 

First, you need to provide and estimate of the total cost of the automation project.  This cost is more than just the cost of the equipment.  It should include items like installation and support. 

Second, the ROI tool requires your best estimate of the annual savings the automation will provide.  These savings could include added profit from increased volumes, labor cost savings, lower scrap rates, floor space savings, and higher consistency in the output. 

Third, you will provide the number of years the annual savings will be realized. 

Fourth, you will provide the minimum annual interest rate return required for the automation equipment.  This rate is often provided by your finance organization.  It is a measure of the return that the money invested in your business should get.  Some call this the hurdle rate or the cost of invested capital in your business if you want to use finance jargon.

Once you have entered these inputs into the ROI Tool, you will get an output report.  This report will provide three ROI metrics that your finance guru will love.  They are NPV (Net Present Value), Payback, and IRR (Internal Rate of Return). 

NPV measures the amount of money the project returns in today’s dollars when compared to the initial investment.  A NPV below 0 means you are better off rejecting the investment because the benefits of the automation in today’s dollars do not cover the initial costs.  On the other hand, a positive NPV tells you that this investment beats your initial required rate of return in using current dollars. 

Payback simply tells you how long it will take to get your initial investment back - clearly the shorter the payback the better.  Payback is a simple tool that is used for a reality check.  Since it does not consider the investment to the return in current dollars, it is considered inferior to NPV and IRR. 

IRR measures the rate of return that the project pays out based on the initial investment and the return information.  If the IRR is higher than the minimum annual interest rate, then you are getting a better return than the minimum.  IRR method is a terrific way to present a project to management.  If your IRR is 25% on a project and your minimum required rate is 12%, you can say that this investment beats your required rate by 13%.  You would be crazy not to proceed with this project.

So have fun with this exciting tool.  I know a lot of you working on automation are technical.  I hope that you realize that this tool can be as exciting as running calculations on your old HP 11C calculator.  It can also help your company make more money.